BLOOMBERG -- The executive of Sacramento County in
The official, Brad Hudson, is right that public pension costs are growing, but not that investment losses are to blame. To the contrary, these expenses are rising despite gains in pension-fund investments.
If not because of investment losses, whats the reason?
Lets start by assuming you left the Earth on Dec. 31, 2007, returned June 3, 2013, and had no news in the interim five-plus years.
When you left, the
From your perspective, it looks as if investments did just fine during your trip. And for long-term investors, you would be right. For example, the assets reported by the largest U.S. public pension fund, the
Hes referring to short-term investors who were forced to sell at the wrong time. Handed a newspaper from 2009, you learn that the country suffered a recession while you were away and that at one point the stock market dropped below 7,000. When that happened, short-term or leveraged investors who had borrowed money to buy stocks suffered investment losses when they were forced to sell equities at low prices.
LONG-TERM INVESTORS
That category of investor doesnt include public pension funds. They dont have short-term liabilities and arent forced to sell at the wrong time. Instead, they are invested for the very long term -- decades -- and are run by professional investors with the expertise to take advantage of market volatility. They are more like
The reason for rising pension costs has nothing to do with the recession or short-term declines on
Calpers is a good example. As an intermediary that administers pension promises made by the state of California and other public-sector employers to their employees, it collects contributions from employers and employees, invests those funds to generate earnings, and uses the proceeds to pay benefits to retired employees.
In 2007,
This isnt a new phenomenon. To meet the rate at which pension liabilities were growing in 1999,
HURDLE RATES
Its very hard for Calpers, or any other professional investor, to grow at such a
Because public pension liabilities continue to grow faster than assets, Calpers recently announced a 50 percent increase in pension costs for governments, starting in 2015. For the same reason, Sacramento County needs to spend more on pensions to keep up with the growth of its liabilities.
Public officials need to be clear with their constituents that pension costs rise whenever pension funds fail to earn their hurdle rates. They should also acknowledge that total costs would be lower if the funds reduced their hurdle rates and
That way, more money would be invested earlier, reducing the need to outperform markets. That shift would also be fairer to future taxpayers, who get no benefit from the services provided by past employees but have to cover pension deficiencies when hurdle rates arent met.