Invesco repositions $1B ETF on signs U.S. economy is back on track

Invesco has a lot riding on U.S. growth.

The Atlanta-based money manager has re-positioned a $1 billion ETF after its proprietary signals indicated that the economy was returning to an expansionary environment, as renewed appetite for risk ended a six-month slowdown. The ETF has shed holdings in more defensive sectors such as health care and consumer staples, and added more growth-sensitive sectors, such as industrials.

Surprisingly, it wasn’t better data that prompted the change but investor demand for higher-yielding assets. Stocks have touched a record high. Credit spreads are tighter. And the greenback is having its best month since October. The markets seem to be setting aside trade concerns and uncertainty about U.S. monetary policy, and stronger-than-expected data such as last week’s jobs report is only adding to bullish sentiment.

Invesco, the fourth-largest manager of ETFs, will pay $4 billion in preferred shares and 81.9 million of common stock to add the primarily active manager to its offerings.
Invesco Ltd. signage is displayed on a monitor on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, Nov. 28, 2016. U.S. stocks fell from all-time highs as investors speculated that gains sparked by expectations for brisker economic growth under a new administration went too far too quickly. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

“There’s still a risk-on inclination for investors,” said Todd Rosenbluth, director of ETF research at CFRA Research. “We are going to see continued economic growth and an improvement in the fundamentals,” he said, although “the summer does tend to be more volatile.”

The Invesco Russell 1000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF (OMFL) pivots between stocks with different characteristics — such as momentum, value or quality — depending on whether the economy is in expansion, slowdown, contraction or recovery. To determine this, a unit of the asset manager evaluates risk appetite and economic indicators every month, using a predetermined methodology.

The fund now tilts toward momentum stocks, smaller companies and those with attractive valuations, where it had once favored the low volatility and quality factors, according to Nick Kalivas, a senior equity ETF analyst at Invesco.

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The average expense ratio among the leading 20 is nearly 40 basis points cheaper than what investors paid on average last year.

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Manufacturing companies now comprise almost 15% of the portfolio, up from 11%, while consumer-staples exposure has dropped to about 6% from 14% a month ago, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

To facilitate the shift, more than $700 million flowed into the fund, almost doubling its assets, before a similar-sized outflow a few days later, the data show.

The fund has returned more than 21% this year, beating the S&P 500’s gain by 0.5 percentage point. Invesco took over the ETF when it bought OppenheimerFunds in May.

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