Asset managers struggle despite solid stock market performance

The U.S. stock market is having another solid year. You wouldn’t know it by looking at the shares of companies that manage money.

The S&P index of 18 asset managers and custody banks is down almost 11% this year, compared with a gain of more than 8% for the broad S&P 500. Some fund companies, including Invesco, Legg Mason and Franklin Resources, have fallen more than 25%.

“The degree of underperformance is particularly staggering,” Goldman Sachs analysts led by Alexander Blostein said in a note to clients on June 19 — when the money-manager index was only down about 1%.

Why the disconnect? Those who follow the industry cite three main reasons: an aging bull market, outflows from active stock pickers and increasing pressure on fees.

Some banks’ research is so sophisticated it may win clients away from independent firms.
A trader reacts while speaking on a fixed line telephone as he looks at financial data on computer screens on the trading floor at ETX Capital, a broker of contracts-for-difference, in London, U.K. on Friday, Oct. 14, 2016. It's been a tumultuous two weeks for the pound, and all indications are that traders will have to get used to the volatility. Photographer: Luke MacGregor/Bloomberg

“Investors seem to think these are the last days of disco for the asset managers,” Benjamin Phillips, a consultant with Casey Quirk, said in an interview.

The run-up in stocks that began in March 2009 is by some measures the longest bull market ever. The U.S. market is in “a late-inning game,” hedge fund star David Tepper said in a Sept. 13 interview with CNBC. Rising equity prices have boosted the assets and the earnings of money managers, but if the market stalls out or turn downward, that reliable source of growth would vanish.

Even with tailwinds, it’s getting difficult for active managers to attract money. Traditional managers, or those that focus on stocks and bonds, lost an average of 2% of their assets to outflows in the second quarter, according to Goldman’s estimate.

“The flow situation has gotten worse,” said Michael Cyprys, an analyst with Morgan Stanley.

Not everyone is bleeding cash. T. Rowe Price pulled in a net $7.6 billion last quarter, while BlackRock, whose iShares ETF business tracks indexes, won $20 billion. Gabelli analyst Macrae Sykes still sees “compelling values” in some managers such as T. Rowe and Legg Mason.

The pressure on fees, a result of money moving to low-cost passive funds, is intensifying. Closely held Fidelity Investments created two index mutual funds in August with no charge at all, then added two more this month.

While rivals have yet to follow suit, Fidelity’s gambit reinforced the view that fund companies will increasingly be forced to prove that customers are getting their money’s worth. Average fees globally fell almost 20% from 2013 to 2017, data from Casey Quirk show — a trend the firm expects to continue.

Bloomberg News
Asset management Markets and indexes Active management Goldman Sachs Invesco Money Management Executive
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